2024 Presidential Odds 270. 4:15 p.m., tuesday, september 10: — both harris and trump have states they can probably count on to get at least 200 electoral votes, but they need to get to 270 to win.
— updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. — 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning.